Tariffs, trade wars, and tropical fish

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stratos

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Jul 6, 2005
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If the new US tariffs on China, Vietnam, Thailand and Indonesia stick, then the price of the aquarium hobby and the trade flows that support it are about to undergo a major shift in the USA. A lot of aquarium supplies are manufactured in China. A lot of aquarium fish are farmed in SEAsia. The prices for these goods will all be going up very soon. If I were in the USA and was planning to set up or stock a new tank, I would hurry to my LFS and/or Amazon to get everything I need.

Concerning trade flows, these tariffs could be excellent news for Columbia, Brazil and Peru. Suddenly their wild caught fish just got a lot cheaper in relation to those from the farms in SEAsia. I believe Sri Lanka is getting hit hard too by the tariffs. They are big in the guppy world I think, so guppies could be going up in price soon. :)
 
Full disclosure - I am a Canadian and I import Asian arowana to Canada via www.dragonfish.ca. Asian arowana are of course illegal to ship or sell into the USA and I have zero commercial activity in the USA. I do travel a fair bit, however, and was recently doing fish business in both SEAsia and Brazil/Columbia. I really do think this could be a golden moment for SAmerica to reclaim its place as the source for the tropical fish sold in the USA. Segrest farms and Ruinemans USA could be big winners due to their SAmerican supply chains. I hope this is the case as much of the tropical fish industry in South America is sustainable and supports the livelihoods of a lot of people. If I were a fish store or fish importer in the USA I would definitely be looking to source fish from SAmerica.
 
Hello; Too early to make a call of effects of tariffs. Too many moving parts. Too many possible deals. The idea of having things such as prescription drugs and PPE medical equipment made in country is appealing. I do not plan to stock up on tank supplies other than things I am currently low on.
I started keeping only tank raised fish some decades ago so imports are not an issue. I get why some will be upset however.
 
Here is a useful FB thread to follow: https://www.facebook.com/ornamentalfishinternational

Note that some of the information below is already out of date (ex. China's tariff is stated as 54% when it is now 104%).

U.S. Tariffs Will Impact the Aquarium Trade – What You Need to Know

"A quiet storm is gathering strength in the ornamental fish world, and its name is tariffs. The U.S. government is set to impose sweeping new import duties on aquarium fish, corals, and live aquatic plants—some as high as 54%. Set to take effect from 9 April 2025, these tariffs represent more than just a trade policy adjustment; they mark a significant challenge for the global ornamental aquatic industry and everyone connected to it—from exporters and transhippers to retailers and home hobbyists.
The reality is that a significant proportion of all marine species sold in U.S. pet stores are imported. Even in freshwater, where there is a domestic farming base, the bulk of supply is still international. The U.S. simply does not have the capacity to produce enough to meet its own demand. So while these measures may be aimed at broader economic objectives, they will hit the aquarium industry hard and fast.
The tariffs will apply to the declared value of the animals—not freight—which helps temper the blow a little. However, fish and corals from Indonesia and Fiji will attract a 32% tariff, while imports from China will cop a staggering 54% before freight and retail markup. This means that retail prices are going to rise—and quickly.
Tariff Confusion Will Complicate Buying Behaviour
One of the most disruptive aspects of this policy is the lack of uniformity. Instead of a flat tariff rate, the U.S. is applying a country-by-country scale, which ranges from 10% to over 50%. This immediately introduces a new layer of complexity into sourcing decisions for U.S. importers and distributors.
In practical terms, importers will now be forced to consider relative cost differences—not just based on species quality or availability, but also on tariff rates. For example, a fish from Indonesia (32% tariff) may be undercut by a similar species from Singapore or Colombia, depending on their assigned tariff bracket. It’s not hard to imagine importers shifting sourcing away from higher-tariff countries, regardless of the historical relationships or sustainability credentials of those suppliers.
This kind of reactive market adjustment may hurt long-established supply chains, destabilise existing conservation programs, and reward volume over values like quality, ethics, or environmental care. It could also lead to speculative buying, as U.S. businesses scramble to restructure logistics around the most favourable tariff jurisdictions.
For small businesses that rely on the U.S. market—especially in places like Southeast Asia, Latin & South America, and the Pacific—this brings a wave of uncertainty. But it’s not just about cost. The ornamental fish trade sustains thousands of livelihoods around the world and underpins conservation outcomes in many regions. Well-managed wild collection supports reef and habitat protection. Community-based aquaculture gives people a viable alternative to extractive industries. Tariffs of this scale risk upending all of that, driving down trade volumes and making it harder for small suppliers to stay in the game.
OFI’s Perspective
As the global voice of the ornamental fish industry, OFI is deeply concerned about the unintended consequences of these tariffs. We believe in sustainable, responsible, and equitable trade. The ornamental fish industry supports tens of thousands of jobs around the world, many in rural or coastal regions with few other economic opportunities. It is also a powerful tool for environmental stewardship, with well-managed wild collection programs helping to protect coral reefs, mangroves, and freshwater habitats.
Trade barriers of this magnitude risk undoing decades of progress—not just for businesses, but for conservation and sustainable development.
We encourage our members and partners to stay informed, to speak with their local industry bodies, and to reach out to U.S. contacts to better understand what’s unfolding. We also encourage regulators to take a moment to consider the broader impacts—because while this might seem like a domestic economic lever, it sends a shockwave through a truly global, interconnected trade.
For now, we brace for the April 9 rollout. Let’s keep talking, keep advocating, and keep working together to protect what this industry has built."
 
A retailer that I support brought in a shipment of fish from Vietnam yesterday. Their $4,000 shipment is now almost $6,000 with the new 46% tariff. Ready to pay more - lots more? Think retailers, especially family businesses, will survive this?
 
U.S. Tariffs Will Impact the Aquarium Trade – What You Need to Know

"A quiet storm is gathering strength in the ornamental fish world, and its name is tariffs.
Hello; Interesting read but i fear one which is somewhat one sided and also ignores the elephants in the room. The other side, as i currently follow things, is the USA's base tariff is to be 10%. Beyond that 10% the tariffs will be reciprocal for the most part if a country has a tariff of greater than 10%. So any country ought to be able to work with the USA if they want to reduce the tariffs.

China seems to be an exception in the sense of upping the ante beyond reason. Perhaps a nation sized game of chicken in terms of monetary policy. To go back a bit to before April of 2025 the trade balance between China & the USA was not level nor in any way even. Hard to say whose figures are most accurate but a summary was the USA bought tons of Chinese goods while the Chinese bought little to no USA goods. ( A trade deficit) It is not like the new USA tariffs were made up just to be mean spirited. How the game of chicken between the USA and a few countries will play out cannot be known today. I do make one prediction only, that such a trade war game of chicken cannot endure over long. One or both will have to blink before too long. Will it be days, weeks or months? Hope it is not years.
Some depends on ideology beyond trade. Will a country decide to go for broke in hope of causing a financial collapse of the other? That is beyond my paygrade.

To the elephants in the room a bit. That being, in my opinion, a two headed monster the looming disaster of the USA dollar no longer being the fiat currency and the out of bounds national debt/trade deficit. A discussion of these things can follow but let me stick to a point. That point being that while tariffs may hurt some, the elephants are on a path to inflict much worse pain. The status quo was not going to last a lot longer even without this tariff event. The addition of a trillion dollars of national debt every 100 days has neared a point of no return. We may cry a bit over current spilt milk from the tariffs but an ongoing status quo seems destined to kill the cow. A collapse of the USA economy will reverberate around the world.

To the cost of imported fish. Personally, I will not be bothered. A selfish stance to be sure. I stopped buying wild caught fish years ago. I try to keep tank raised fish. If even that market starts to dry up, I know how to induce spawning among a few species so i can have fish for my tanks.
 
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